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Showing posts from May, 2020

Inaccurate evidence and false hope: will Covid19 be as harmless as seasonal flu over the time?

I thank Milind Watve for a thought-provoking blogpost ‘ Covid 19: We need neither vaccine nor herd immunity ’ (dated 27 th May 2020). The key argument of blogpost is death rate of Covid19 is declining and in future it will be like seasonal flu.             The argument has been presented with the help of certain graph which I am reproducing here. The graph represents Case Fatality Rate, ratio of deaths due to diseases to infection due to diseases  https://milindwatve.home.blog/2020/05/27/covid-19-we-need-neither-vaccine-nor-herd-immunity/?fbclid=IwAR1D0wMndXAMT5p41H5yyfklETgEEpnzzB72kOWNn1UykOx5nk8oaelD-ZY It is based on this graph that blogger concludes that there is a downward trend in CFR. He further states, that after certain number of days (35 as per his prediction, though he has expressed caveats about it), ‘Covid 19 will remain only as dangerous as any seasonal flu’ ( emphasis mine ). I would like to note that blogger...