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Speculations for future: post 370 scrapping edition

BJP government has finally scraped the article 370 on which the whole Kashmir question stands. Nationalistic ideology does not support asymmetric statements to states. States are seen small ,efficient units responding to strong center. 
BJP government is clearly more confident after 2019 reelection. There is no doubt now that BJP represents majority of non-SC Hindu opinion. Ideology of assertive nationalism is resonating with large section of Indian population. Most importantly, government has no qualms in taking actions which seem to be gratifying to their core base and insulting towards opposition. Statesmanship is not their style. Their style is of warrior who plays for the gallery and who enjoys opponent being abused by spectators. 
These decisions by BJP hint at times to come. I am assuming that at least for next decade, BJP will enjoy popular support unless there is severe economic downturn. 

  1. If RSS and BJP core can maintain its grip like China's communist party then BJP will enjoy powers for 2-3 terms at least. Since BJP has no fundamental preference for liberal, individualistic, democratic process, it will not be miracle if more authoritative stance is seen. But, Hindu culture of magnanimity and tolerance is natural constraint on such tendencies. But absolute power can corrupt anything absolutely. 
  2. Supreme court or constitution will not be able to stop India's transformation as a Hindu Israel. Majority will asserts itself, may be even at the cost of democracy. It requires leadership with no ethical conundrums, which is precisely what BJP has. Supreme court judges, academia, social organizations can all be infiltrated or demolished by an assertive political ideology and BJP will do it. India's population is BJP's key strength and it is a considerable strength. Soon, we might see Ayodhya verdict coming up BJP's way. But it is also likely that Ayodhya will drag, but gains made on Kashmir issue and Amit Shah's projection as next one are very strong. 
  3. Uniform Civil Code can be a next step. I think uniform civil code favoring Hindu practices will be the version we will see. 
  4. Economy is the key challenge for BJP in short term, but it is not as big a constraint as many commentators make up sometimes. BJP needs to avoid is outright recession. even if economy grinds on and nationalistic projects do not dry, BJP can continue ruling. In short run, BJP is trying to leverage housing demand to accelerate the economy. Government will try to pump up the economy though channel of credit, though the key question will be whether to use subprime borrowers to pump up the demand. 
  5. Once BJP makes India a Hindu Israel, the survival challenge for BJP will begin. But that phase is still at least 10 years away. Better way to describe India is Hindu Israel ruled by single entity akin to China's communist party. 
  6. So how bad will it be? Difficult to predict. When and how BJP will shade its nationalistic robes and turn to full throttle Hindu assertion will be the key point. It might not be bad if citizens given secondary status accept the fate by meek submission. The point of instability will be brought when BJP's core support group will break. Not all groups among Hindus will have hold of power. 
  7. Key challenges for BJP will be how to get all major Hindu groups (caste, kinship, language based) together. One way is to weld the differences with strong nationalism. Bur regional and other fault-lines are hard to die. If there is no economic miracle, then there will be strain and envy. 
  8. What happens to us as a nation? What happens to those who dissent with BJP? One thing is sure. Unlike past, where so called individual, liberal ideas were accepted by Bohemian few without social changes supporting them, in the coming time, ideas have to be built from scratch.  
  9. Market, individualism, consumerism will keep penetrating the society through media and our contact with west. Culture will be the product consumed by consumers and not the force dictating their lives. Hindu symbols, Hindu traditions will be new market product. Value system will be one of market, continuous consumption and planning for next desire.
Before we condemn it just because it doesn't match with images implanted us during our education, we should take hard look at questions of human existence, its meaning and purpose. Afterall we are here because millions of social media users and voters. It is a social choice and not a trivial one. If we are denying it, what sort of act that is? 

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